Up to 93,000 buy-to-let landlords are expected to leave the rental market in 2025, according to Black & White Bridging’s latest broker insights report. The research suggests as many as 150,000 landlords have exited over the past two years.
The forecast equates to a 6% fall in landlord numbers by the end of 2025, accelerating from a 4% decline between 2023 and 2024.
The Numbers
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2.84m unincorporated landlords in the UK (HMRC, 2023).
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57% (1.62m) estimated to have a buy-to-let mortgage.
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65,000 landlords exited between 2023–24.
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93,000 more expected to leave in 2025.
Why Landlords Are Leaving
Damien Druce, COO at Black & White Bridging, said: “It’s likely these are landlords with small portfolios of one or two properties, who don’t want to face ongoing regulatory changes and rising costs. Brokers who write a lot of vanilla BTL business may be nervous, but the industry will be left with a more professional cohort that is more open to opportunities requiring specialist finance.”
Outlook
While less than a quarter of brokers (23%) expect landlord numbers to rise, more than half (56%) predict further decline.
The trend suggests a smaller, more professional landlord base ahead – but also the risk of reduced rental supply at a time when demand remains high.
What This Means for Landlords
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Smaller market, higher demand: Fewer landlords could mean stronger tenant competition for available homes.
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More regulation ahead: Those who stay will need to adapt to rising compliance and tax pressures.
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Opportunities for professionals: A leaner market may benefit landlords with scale or those open to specialist finance.
This must be wrong because Mr Pennycook has said that he sees no evidence of landlords leaving the sector and as we all know MPs never lie.