House Prices start to fall

The Halifax Price Index has just been released for March, and can be seen here.

In summary:

🔻 Headline Figures

  • Monthly change (March 2025): -0.5% (£1,575 drop)

  • Average UK house price: £296,699 (down from £298,274 in February)

  • Annual change: +2.8% (unchanged from February)

  • Quarterly change: +0.5%


📈 Trends & Analysis

  • The drop in March follows a temporary surge in January as buyers rushed to beat a stamp duty deadline.

  • Activity peaked in March (busiest single day on record for completions).

  • As that rush subsided, demand has cooled, and prices adjusted accordingly.

  • Outlook: Modest growth expected as affordability may improve, helped by:

    • Anticipated base rate cuts

    • Wage growth

    • Still-limited housing supply


🌍 Regional Highlights

Region/Nation Annual Price Change Average Price
Northern Ireland +6.6% £206,620
Scotland +4.3% £213,750
Wales +3.7% £227,332
Yorkshire & Humber +4.2% £215,807
London +1.1% £543,370

📊 Market Activity

  • Sales: February 2025 saw 108,250 residential transactions – +13.0% from January and +28.1% year-on-year.

  • Mortgage approvals: Fell slightly in February (-0.8%) but were still +8.2% above February 2024.

  • RICS Market Survey:

    • Buyer demand down (net balance -14%)

    • Agreed sales negative (-13%)

    • New property listings positive (+12%)


📝 Notes

  • Volatility in monthly data is common; quarterly trends give a clearer picture.

  • Prices remain near record highs despite the monthly dip.

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